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指政府措施只能「止血」 學者料失業率或升至4.7%
21 Apr 2020

 
疫情肆虐本港,重創各行各業,本港最新失業率上升至4.2%,創超過9年的新高。中大劉佐德全球經濟及金融研究所常務所長莊太量分析指,本港失業率正加速惡化,預計4月公布的失業率會繼續上升,有機會達4.7%


圖片來源:網絡

莊太量在一個電台節目表示,本港失業率惡化,又指以往較穩定的行業,例如金融業,失業率亦上升。他估計,4月公布的失業率會繼續升,或達4.7%。不過,莊太量相信,隨著中學文憑試開考,社會慢慢復課復工,料失業率會逐漸回落。

他又指政府第二輪防疫抗疫基金措施以及增聘公務員,頂多只能為市場「止血」,就業始終要依賴私人市場。


圖片來源:網絡

莊太量認為惠譽再度下調本港信貸評級至AA-,評級理據不足。他說,若涉及疫情因素,應下調美國及歐洲國家等的評級,又指有關中港聯繫日益加深的理據,偏離中立、科學化的標準,指出評級應視乎政府的舉債能力,認為本港的舉債能力是數一數二強。

 

資料來源:星島日報

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